2013 Fantasy Prospect Rankings: Third Base
These fantasy prospect rankings are for the typical 5×5 format. Players are eligible at a position if it’s more likely than not they will eligible at a position in the future. The tiers are comparable across lists.
Only Rendon is a natural third baseman but there is enough concern over Bogearts and Baez’s long term position to include them here. All three profile similarly third baseman with great bats but limited speed. Bogearts get the slight nod over Baez here because he’s closer to becoming a big league regular and has a more advanced approach. Baez’s power potential moves him above Rendon. Rendon’s on-base ability does not translate well to fantasy baseball beyond the runs column and his power is likely only a tick above average whereas Baez could be a 25+ home run guy while posting a similar batting average.
Castellanos’ fantasy profile is similar to Rendon’s statistical projection. High average, questionable power, and no speed. But, despite being Castellanos’ biggest supporter since he was drafted, my concern over his propensity to expand the strike zone pushes him to the next tier. It’s fair to question whether he belongs on this list at all – there’s almost chance he plays third for Detroit.
What I love about Sano is that he knows himself. He’ll always have a lot of swing in miss in his game, but he knows he is a fastball hitter and it shows in his approach. If he is able to post 30+ home run power it will cover up any batting average deficiencies he may have. Olt’s numbers should be similar to Sano’s numbers - high home run total, questionable batting average, limited speed – but Sano has more upside in his power and batting average projections than Olt.
Arenado’s proximity to Colorado and the hitting environment make it temping to bump him up a tier, but I’m not solid his power or average will stand out in fantasy baseball. We’ve been promoting Kowart since he was drafted. He’s a better real life prospect than a fantasy asset because his hit tool is the least developed. Still, he should provide good power and on-base ability. We discussed Gyorko on the second base list, but I like his profile better at third. Third doesn’t have the same stolen base demands as second so starting Gyorko at third won’t leave you searching out steals. Spolier! Seager didn’t make the shortstop list. I almost created a fourth tier for him because he’s so untested, but I think his speed could bolster his value at the hot corner.